Daniel Davis Deep Dive There's No FORCING RUSSIA Into Anything /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Steve Jermy
Feb 9, 2026
Steve Jermy, former UK Royal Navy Commodore and defense analyst, offers concise military and geopolitical perspective. He discusses who actually holds leverage over Russia and why territorial aims shape bargaining. They cover shifts in Russian tactics from attrition to securing objectives, the practical value of military-to-military talks, and regional escalation risks around Iran and Israel.
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Negotiations Need Russian Consent
- Without Russian buy-in, Western and Ukrainian negotiations are largely meaningless and won't produce a durable peace.
- Steve Jermy says wars end when the side that can impose terms believes it's in their interest to stop fighting.
Energy Strikes Serve A Military Aim
- Russia is shifting from attrition to exploitation focused on securing defensible territory and degrading Ukraine's industrial and energy capacity.
- Jermy argues these strikes target logistics to produce battlefield success rather than purely to punish civilians.
Use Or Withhold Strategic Support
- If the U.S. wants to force a faster end, it can withhold strategic support to Ukraine.
- Jermy advises Washington could end the war more rapidly by withdrawing targeting, intelligence, and other support.