Eurodollar University

New Jobs Data Crashes Markets (What You Must Know)

Feb 9, 2026
Steve Van Metre, market commentator who analyzes labor and credit trends, breaks down how recent jobs and layoff reports shocked risky markets. He discusses why labor weakness often ends rallies. Short takes on ADP revisions, Challenger layoffs, JOLTS declines, rising claims, and how tighter bank lending and AI funding worries amplified the selloff.
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INSIGHT

Three Reports Shift Market Narrative

  • ADP, Challenger, and JOLTS together revealed labor-market weakness that surprised markets and amplified selling in risky assets.
  • The reports show the supposed 2026 rebound may be failing to materialize, shifting macro risks downward.
INSIGHT

Labor Market Is The Last To Break

  • Steve Van Metre argues the labor market is the last thing to break and it now shows signs of cracking through layoffs and reduced hours.
  • Falling hours and fewer full-time conversions signal weaker consumer spending ahead and reinforce the downward trend.
ANECDOTE

Worst January Since 2009

  • Challenger reported 108,000 announced job cuts in January, the worst January since 2009 and the lowest hiring on record.
  • Andy Challenger said most plans were set at the end of 2025, signaling employers are less than optimistic about 2026.
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