Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Expect A Market Correction By September | Brent Johnson

56 snips
Aug 14, 2025
Brent Johnson, CEO & Portfolio Manager at Santiago Capital and creator of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, shares his insights on the current market landscape. He discusses the recent weakening of the U.S. dollar and suggests it may be oversold, anticipating a potential rally. Brent also predicts a market correction by September, spurred by overly optimistic sentiments and geopolitical factors. He emphasizes the interplay between finance and political dynamics, urging investors to remain vigilant and strategic in managing their portfolios amid this volatility.
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ANECDOTE

Rare Red-Flag Indicator Episodes

  • Brent noted he saw all his indicators flash red for the first time in 25 years last July and then again multiple times subsequently.
  • He uses that repeated rare signal to justify defensive positioning despite timing risk.
ADVICE

Don't Buy Tops—Hedge Instead

  • Avoid buying assets at all-time highs without protection; retain exposure but hedge downside.
  • If the correction comes, consider increasing US equity exposure afterward, not before.
INSIGHT

America May Drop The 'White Hat'

  • The 'veil of altruism' (rules-based order) is lifting and US policy is shifting toward unabashed self-interest.
  • Brent argues that America still holds disproportionate power and can wield coercive tools the world underestimates.
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