RiskReversal Pod

What We Learned From The Software Sell-off | He Said, She Said with The Wall Street Skinny

Feb 9, 2026
Kristen Kelly, co-founder and writer at The Wall Street Skinny, offers market analysis on the recent SaaS sell-off and shifting investor sentiment. Conversation covers AI-driven spending versus returns, Microsoft's central role, private credit exposure to tech stress, crypto volatility and Bitcoin’s tested narrative, and potential rotations into financials and energy.
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INSIGHT

Models Threaten Legacy SaaS Value

  • New, powerful AI models (e.g., Anthropic) accelerated fears that AI could displace core software businesses.
  • That fear intensified selling in many large SaaS names and re-priced the sector quickly.
ADVICE

Evaluate Adoption, Not Just Hype

  • Consider both upside adoption and current weak uptake when assessing platform names like Microsoft.
  • Weigh paid-seat growth against total user base before concluding permanent damage.
INSIGHT

Credit Strain Lurking Under SaaS Sell-Off

  • Credit markets are showing strain as loans tied to SaaS trade distressed, exposing private credit concentration.
  • Public and private exposures make credit-equity correlations riskier if defaults rise.
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