How I Invest with David Weisburd

E325: Inside the $100B Continuation Vehicle Boom

Mar 16, 2026
Michael Woolhouse, Head of Continuation Vehicles at TPG Capital, leads single-asset continuation vehicle deals after a career at CPP Investments. He explains treating CVs like buyouts, why incumbency and large GP rolls lower risk, how CV economics and incentives are structured, and the rapid growth and disciplined culture shaping this $100B market.
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INSIGHT

LPs Mostly Accept Continuation Offers

  • Typical LP sell vs roll rates vary widely, but market averages sit around 15–20% sell volume.
  • Woolhouse observes some deals see 100% sell while others only 50%, driven by cyclical demand for DPI and deal specifics.
INSIGHT

Expected Returns And Market Evidence

  • Buyers target roughly 2x net and ~20% net IRR on continuation deals while sponsors often expect larger upside.
  • Woolhouse ties buyer conservatism to underwriting but notes market reports show CVs can match or exceed buyout returns with lower loss ratios.
INSIGHT

Why Continuations Can Be Lower Risk

  • CVs can offer higher returns with lower risk due to positive selection, prior sponsor knowledge, and outsized GP alignment.
  • Woolhouse points to sponsors' track record, their operational knowledge, and 8–10% GP commits as key risk reducers.
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