Full Story Inside One Nation's orange wave in SA and what it means for the nation
Mar 23, 2026
Tory Shepherd, Adelaide-based political reporter, and Dan Jervis Barty, chief political correspondent, unpack One Nation’s shock surge in South Australia. They describe the orange wave on election night, explain how preferences translated votes into seats, and consider the party’s potential to reshape culture wars, media scrutiny, and broader political strategy.
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One Nation's Result Marks A Political Shift
- South Australia's One Nation surge signals a structural shift in Australian politics, not just a polling blip.
- Dan Jervis Barty says polls were right and the orange wave showed a clear change in voter behaviour since the 2025 federal election.
Being Confronted At One Nation's Election Night
- Tory Shepherd described being physically blocked and verbally berated at One Nation's election night, showing the party's belligerent media posture.
- She recounts a burly man yelling she was the ABC, then interactions with James Ashby demanding to know who let her in.
Preferential Voting Could Curb Seat Explosion
- Preferential voting may limit One Nation's seat gains despite a high primary vote.
- Dan explains One Nation's 22% statewide primary vote concentrated regionally could translate to only around seven parliamentary members.