The President's Daily Brief

March 18th, 2026: Who’s Actually In Charge Of Iran Right Now? & Trump Delays China Trip

23 snips
Mar 18, 2026
Reports of secret backchannels with Iran and questions about who in Tehran can actually strike a deal. A major presidential trip to China is postponed as attention shifts to the Iran conflict. A lethal Pakistani airstrike in Kabul escalates regional tensions. Efforts to form a multinational escort for shipping in the Strait of Hormuz face Western reluctance.
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INSIGHT

Back-Channel Messages Won’t Guarantee A Deal

  • Back-channel contact with Iran may exist but is unlikely to produce a binding deal.
  • Mike Baker explains alleged outreach involved Steve Witkoff and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, who U.S. officials view as a messenger without negotiating authority.
INSIGHT

Iran's Leadership Fragmentation Blocks Negotiations

  • Authority gaps inside Iran make meaningful negotiations unlikely even if messages are exchanged.
  • Baker notes Larijani's reported death and an absent Supreme Leader Mushtab al-Khamenei have fragmented decision-making across the regime.
ADVICE

Delay Summits During Active Military Campaigns

  • Delay high-level diplomatic travel until senior leadership can focus on crisis management.
  • President Trump postponed his China summit by five to six weeks to remain in Washington while overseeing Operation Epic Fury.
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