Eurabiamania with Kenaz Filan and Ahnaf Ibn-Qais

Eurabiamania 167: The Third Gulf War, Wk 4 (Pt. 1) 🇮🇷🚀🇮🇱🔻🇺🇸💥

Mar 30, 2026
A rapid, darkly entertaining tour of a widening Gulf conflict and its ripple effects. They explore shifting base tactics and drone-driven battlefield realities. Expect deep dives on munitions exhaustion, maritime chokepoints and global energy shocks. The conversation also covers food and fertilizer crunches, regional realignments, market stress, and the fragile survival of Gulf monarchies.
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INSIGHT

Amphibious Landings Would Be Massacres

  • Amphibious or airborne staging for a large-scale invasion of Iran is highly vulnerable because landing forces would be within artillery and missile range.
  • Kenaz Filan warns 15,000 troops landing near the Iranian coast would suffer several hundred casualties per day from artillery, drones, and missiles.
INSIGHT

Underground Iranian Military Resilience

  • Western strikes have limited impact on Iran's deeply buried missile infrastructure because cruise missiles make shallow craters and decoys/boneyards are targeted.
  • Kenaz Filan explains missiles often only break surface entrances while Iran can excavate and preserve underground facilities.
INSIGHT

Munitions Attrition Will Break Western Campaigns

  • High-rate munitions use will exhaust Western stockpiles quickly while Iranian counters wear down airframes and interceptors.
  • Filan cites RUSI modelling and counts showing Western munitions and airframes could be depleted in months, ending sustained campaigns.
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