Resolve Riffs Investment Podcast Managed Futures-Why Now! Positioning, Energy, De-Dollarization, and Portfolio Blind Spots
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Sep 18, 2025 The hosts dive into the current relevance of managed futures, discussing recent drawdowns and behavioral hurdles investors face. They highlight the macro case for diversification, especially amid concentrated U.S. portfolios and inflationary concerns. The impact of AI on commodity demand and global trends is a hot topic, as is the strategy of return stacking to enhance portfolio performance. Listeners gain insight into how to navigate policy shocks while effectively allocating resources to capture potential market opportunities.
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Concentrated US Portfolios Are Vulnerable
- Traditional US portfolios are highly concentrated in mega-cap tech and exposed to dollar and duration risk.
- That makes them vulnerable if inflation or commodity-driven regimes reassert themselves.
Managed Futures Provide Missing Exposures
- Managed futures offer exposure to commodities, currencies, bonds and global equities not found in typical US allocations.
- That mix can protect against dollar weakness and commodity-led inflation.
Avoid Static Commodity Bets
- Use managed futures to time tactical commodity exposure rather than buy a static commodity basket.
- Let trend-following capture intermediate-term supply-demand shocks and avoid long flat commodity periods.