Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

21 | Alex Rosenberg on Naturalism, History, and Theory of Mind

Nov 5, 2018
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INSIGHT

Theory-of-Mind Is An Evolutionary Heuristic

  • Rosenberg uses neuroscience to challenge folk theory-of-mind explanations in history.
  • He claims beliefs-and-desires explanations are evolutionary heuristics, not accurate causal accounts.
ANECDOTE

Repeated Ardennes Surprise Invasions

  • Rosenberg recounts how Germany invaded France four times through the same region across 75 years.
  • Historians repeatedly mispredicted repeats, showing poor predictive power from folk explanations.
ANECDOTE

Hitler Declaring War After Pearl Harbor

  • He asks why Hitler declared war on the U.S. after Pearl Harbor despite strategic costs.
  • Folk explanations appeal to Hitler's beliefs and desires but may miss true causal factors.
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