
Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas 21 | Alex Rosenberg on Naturalism, History, and Theory of Mind
Nov 5, 2018
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Theory-of-Mind Is An Evolutionary Heuristic
- Rosenberg uses neuroscience to challenge folk theory-of-mind explanations in history.
- He claims beliefs-and-desires explanations are evolutionary heuristics, not accurate causal accounts.
Repeated Ardennes Surprise Invasions
- Rosenberg recounts how Germany invaded France four times through the same region across 75 years.
- Historians repeatedly mispredicted repeats, showing poor predictive power from folk explanations.
Hitler Declaring War After Pearl Harbor
- He asks why Hitler declared war on the U.S. after Pearl Harbor despite strategic costs.
- Folk explanations appeal to Hitler's beliefs and desires but may miss true causal factors.
