Chit Chat Stocks

Amazon and Alphabet's Capex Ramp; SpaceX and xAI MegaMerger; Software Stock Meltdown $AMZN $GOOG

10 snips
Feb 6, 2026
Wide software sell-off and whether SaaS valuations now offer buying chances. Big CapEx plans from Amazon and what that means for AWS and margins. Alphabet’s cloud and AI optionality alongside YouTube resilience. Speculation around a SpaceX and xAI mega-merger and the realism of space-based data centers. Debate over which enterprise SaaS names to own after the meltdown.
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INSIGHT

Thematic Software Meltdown

  • The software sector is undergoing a thematic sell-off driven by AI product launches and sentiment, not company-specific failures.
  • Many quality SaaS stocks now trade at deep drawdowns but still require strong growth to justify past valuations.
ADVICE

Choose Vendors Over Reinventing Internals

  • Keep using best-of-breed external software unless you have massive scale that justifies building internally.
  • Small and mid-size firms should prefer external vendors for faster product velocity and lower total cost.
INSIGHT

CapEx Guides Trigger Market Worries

  • Amazon reported strong AWS and ad growth but shocked markets with a very large 2026 CapEx guide.
  • The CapEx surge raises investor concern about returns and cash allocation despite strong operating performance.
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