Halftime Report

The SCOTUS Tariff Decision Fallout 2/23/26

Feb 23, 2026
Bryn Tocke, an investment committee member who picks stocks and ETFs; Joe Terranova, a tactical trader focused on risk management; Jim Laventhal, a portfolio manager offering allocation views. They debate market moves after the Supreme Court tariff ruling. Short‑term uncertainty, trading reactions like selling names, private credit risks for retail, and NVIDIA and software as key market catalysts are discussed.
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INSIGHT

Tariff Ruling Raised Short Term Uncertainty

  • The SCOTUS tariff ruling increased short-term uncertainty but may reduce long-run uncertainty if a 15% cap holds.
  • Market reacted negatively because President Trump's follow-up threats and unclear refund guidance kept tariff risk alive for retailers and discretionary names.
ANECDOTE

Bryn Sold Tariff Trades After Thesis Failed

  • Bryn sold Nike and On after her tariff-centered thesis failed to play out because the Supreme Court didn't address refunds and President Trump's reaction signaled tariffs aren't going away.
  • She prefers moving on when a trade thesis stops working rather than clinging to positions.
ADVICE

Defend Portfolios Until NVIDIA Provides Clarity

  • Play defense amid broad volatility and focus on names that can steady a wobbly market like NVIDIA, Apple and Alphabet.
  • Use upcoming NVIDIA earnings as a near-term catalyst to reassess risk exposure in mega caps and equal-weight strategies.
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