Behind the Balance Sheet

#1 Two Titans - John Armitage & Brent Hoberman on Hedge Funds, Entrepreneurship & Two Very Different Paths to Investment Success

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Aug 19, 2021
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INSIGHT

Disruption Makes Incumbents Pay Up Fast

  • Armitage highlights pervasive disruption: incumbents sometimes pay huge sums for startups because they see transformative potential.
  • Example: Philip Morris valuing Juul at around $35bn shortly after its founding.
ADVICE

Accept A Few Failures To Achieve Big VC Returns

  • Brent says venture returns require accepting many failures: a few losers are normal and necessary for outsized winners.
  • His fund lost three of 56 in first fund yet still produced strong returns overall.
INSIGHT

Top VC Anti‑Portfolios Still Perform Well

  • The anti‑portfolio (good deals passed on) can perform nearly as well as invested deals, showing top VC deal flow is broadly high quality.
  • Big brands' investment committees screen so many good opportunities that misses aren't catastrophic.
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