The DeFi Report Next Stop $100k?
17 snips
Jan 14, 2026 Bitcoin nears the pivotal $100K mark, sparking debates on market dynamics. Discussions dive into CPI surprises and how rising real rates impact Bitcoin's strength. Insights reveal global liquidity trends and muted ETF demand, challenging a sustained rally. Long-term holders are still selling, complicating market sentiment. The hosts contemplate future capitulation and necessary signals for reclaiming $100K. They also share portfolio strategies and upcoming assets to keep an eye on, emphasizing a cautious yet curious approach to investing.
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Breakevens Are The Key To Real Yield Moves
- Breakeven inflation reflects market inflation expectations and moves real yields when nominal yields are flat.
- Rising breakevens would lower real yields and create a more favorable environment for Bitcoin.
Long Yields Can Rise Even As Fed Cuts
- The Fed controls short rates but not the long end; the 10-year rose despite six Fed cuts.
- Long-end yields can rise if markets price higher inflation or spending, hurting risk assets unless QE intervenes.
Global Liquidity Looks Like It's Rolling Over
- Global liquidity appears to be rolling over, echoing 2022's liquidity-driven risk-off.
- That pattern raises doubt Bitcoin can sustain a durable bull run without renewed liquidity expansion.