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Everything You Need to Know About Oil

37 snips
Mar 10, 2026
A fast breakdown of why oil spiked amid Middle East conflict and the Strait of Hormuz risks. Clear talk on shipping terms, insurer-driven route closures, and how governments can calm markets. Discussion of physical trading dynamics, hedging-driven whipsaws, and how trading houses lock in profits. Notes on regional differentials, Iranian crude quality, and which assets traders favor through 2026.
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ANECDOTE

Near Death Car Crash Changed Perspective

  • Avi Felman survived a high-speed T-bone collision in Puerto Rico and credits airbags for saving his life.
  • He describes slow-motion perception, a metallic taste, and minor injuries but emphasized health over trading losses.
ADVICE

Use Early Life Tax Moves To Amplify Compounding

  • Move to a low-tax jurisdiction when young to compound wealth faster, if you expect a large windfall.
  • Avi recommends Puerto Rico for under-30s and suggests spending limited time there while avoiding family constraints.
ADVICE

Fade Geopolitical Rallies With Stocks Not Futures

  • Avoid shorting oil futures into geopolitical shocks due to extreme negative convexity.
  • Jonah instead bought oil-related stocks when cheap to capture downside safely while avoiding being wiped out.
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