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Know The Limits Of Skeptical Expertise
- Skeptics have real expertise, but it's limited mainly to classic pseudoscience like astrology and UFOs.
- Massimo argues non-experts should defer to domain experts on technical scientific topics like climate change.
Defer To Consensus When You Lack Expertise
- If you lack technical training in a field, provisionally accept the expert consensus rather than making definitive public pronouncements.
- Only override that consensus if you develop comparable expertise or find strong external reasons to doubt it.
Consensus Isn’t A Proof Of Premises
- Expert agreement on premises is not itself proof the premises are valid; you need external criteria to judge foundational assumptions.
- Julia compares climate models to economic models to show that model validity varies by field and testability.