Hold These Truths with Dan Crenshaw

Crime, Punishment, and the DC Federal Takeover | Charles Fain Lehman

Sep 10, 2025
Charles Fain Lehman, a policy analyst at the Manhattan Institute and senior editor at City Journal, delves into the complexities of crime in DC and urban safety. He discusses the impact of public disorder and how it contributes to crime hotspots, emphasizing the role of homelessness and sanitation issues. The conversation also touches on the challenges of policing shortages and bail reform. Lehman highlights successful past deterrence strategies and critiques the cultural influences surrounding mass shootings, providing a comprehensive look at the realities behind America's crime waves.
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ADVICE

Monitor 311 And Unsheltered Counts

  • Use 311 sanitation and homelessness data to detect rising public disorder even when major-crime stats fall.
  • Track unsheltered counts and sanitation calls as leading indicators of street-level dysfunction.
INSIGHT

Violence Is Highly Concentrated

  • Lehman noted violent crime in D.C. is highly concentrated, with young Black men facing death rates similar to wartime service members.
  • He stressed a few dozen blocks and a small group of individuals drive much of the city's homicides.
INSIGHT

A Small Group Drives Most Gun Violence

  • Studies show a small number of individuals commit a large share of gun violence, making focused interventions efficient.
  • Lehman referenced research that 200–500 people account for 60–70% of gun violence at a time.
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