Saxo Market Call

Recently boring Nvidia reports next week. Did we just see German green shoots?

12 snips
Feb 20, 2026
A tour of the US market's growing dispersion and the weird divergence between big indexes and individual stocks. A look at record European inflows and whether regional strength is overdone. Preview of a quiet week for Nvidia and other tech reports after a long run-up. Discussion of FX pivots as the dollar wobbles and a tiny German manufacturing “green shoot” showing up in PMIs.
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ANECDOTE

Host Tests AI Theme Music

  • John Hardy mentions experimenting with AI-generated theme music to avoid copyrighted tracks.
  • He plays two candidate tracks and solicits listener feedback via email and Substack.
INSIGHT

Private Credit Strain Hits Public Names

  • Stress in private credit is spilling into listed PE names and broader credit markets.
  • Blue Owl freezing redemptions dented peers like Apollo and Blackstone and raised systemic risk concerns.
ADVICE

Treat NVIDIA Week As A Reassessment Opportunity

  • Watch NVIDIA's upcoming earnings as a potential catalyst despite recent price inertia.
  • Don't assume unchanged price action; treat the report as a market-information event to reassess positions.
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