Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Is Macro Regime Shift Underway? ft. Andreas Steno & Mikkel Rosenvold

19 snips
Feb 9, 2026
They unpack a potential macro regime shift tied to Fed-Treasury dynamics and what a Kevin Warsh-led Fed could mean. Discussion covers a capex-driven cyclical upswing and rotation from precious metals into real-economy sectors. Political motives around crypto and midterm optics get debated. Geopolitical risk is highlighted with Iran developments and possible market-moving escalations.
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INSIGHT

Volatility Spills Across Asset Classes

  • Volatility in one asset class mechanically raises perceived risk across portfolios and forces de-risking.
  • Andreas Steno Larsen explains that a silver shock pushed pullbacks across tech and other consensus trades via risk-model repricing.
INSIGHT

Fed Views Mirror Political Color

  • Kevin Walsh's public stance shifts with the party in the White House, implying policy will align with administration goals.
  • Andreas warns this signals a possible formal Fed-Treasury cooperation that could be bullish for credit creation.
INSIGHT

CapEx Cycle Drives A Regime Shift

  • A macro regime shift from 'QE-like' to 'gung-ho' is driven by rising cyclical growth while inflation stays low.
  • Andreas Steno Larsen attributes this to a resurging CapEx cycle incentivized by bonus depreciation rules in recent legislation.
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