Broadcasting House Iran war enters second month
12 snips
Mar 29, 2026 
Jeremy Bowen, BBC international editor and senior journalist, gives live briefings and analysis on the Iran conflict and regional fallout. He discusses the bombardment of Tehran and strikes across the Gulf. He explores historical parallels, US posture, the risks of seizing islands and how oil has been used as a geopolitical weapon.
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Iran War Could Echo Suez Strategic Misstep
- Jeremy Bowen warns that the Iran war could be a strategic misstep for the US, potentially a 'way station' in American decline if entered without thinking through consequences.
- He compares it to Suez 1956 and highlights risks like holding captured islands under drone and artillery fire and unclear definitions of victory.
Iran's Leadership May Prefer Survival Over Deals
- Bowen explains Iran's likely posture: IRGC-led elements may double down to ensure regime survival rather than negotiate deals.
- He contrasts assassinated moderates who sought deals with IRGC hardliners now dominant in Tehran.
Taking Gulf Islands Is Militarily Feasible But Politically Risky
- Bowen outlines why seizing small Gulf islands (like Karg) is militarily feasible but politically fraught due to casualty risks and holding them under attack.
- He notes US amphibious capability vs political controversy over casualties in America.
