Hub Podcasts Is Canada headed to an early election?
Feb 12, 2026
Amanda Galbraith, co-founder of Oyster Group, gives sharp campaign and communications perspective. David Coletto, founder of Abacus Data, brings fresh polling and public opinion analysis. They debate an early federal election, Trump's growing impact on Canadian politics, Conservative messaging struggles, party cooperation talks, and how parliamentary dysfunction and media clips shape strategy.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Trump Salience Boosts Liberal Momentum
- Abacus polling shows Liberals with a seven-point lead and growing momentum despite Conservative convention energy.
- Rising concern about Donald Trump is boosting Liberal support, especially on national-security framing.
Pivot Messaging Quickly On Trump
- Conservatives should pivot quickly from convention rhetoric to a clearer response on Trump and related Canada-US issues.
- Pierre Poilievre must reframe messaging to connect Trump concerns to voters' broader anxieties.
Trump Issue Creates A Liberal Ballot Advantage
- Voters who list Trump as a top issue overwhelmingly prefer Liberals by a large margin.
- That makes the Trump agenda a ballot question Conservatives struggle to win right now.