Gary Wagner, editor of The Gold Forecast and chart-focused precious metals analyst. He maps a potential final C-wave correction in gold and the 200-day moving average as a critical floor. He flags silver’s steep technical damage and the 78% Fibonacci level. He links crude’s surge and central bank gold moves to macro pressure and outlines what could reverse the bearish trend.
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insights INSIGHT
Gold In Final C Wave Correction
Gold is in the final C-wave of an ABC correction and could retest lows near the 200-day moving average.
Gary Wagner points to the January 29 all-time high, the A and B waves, and a potential test around $4,090 if support fails.
volunteer_activism ADVICE
Use The 200 Day As A Tactical Reference
Watch the 200-day moving average and nearby support levels to time potential entries or confirm downside.
Wagner highlights the 200-day (~$4,090) as a key test and notes moving averages (50, 100) have already rolled over.
insights INSIGHT
Oil Spike Driving Gold's Rate Headwinds
Crude oil is the primary fundamental driver pressuring gold via inflation and Fed rate expectations.
Wagner links spikes above $100 and control of the Strait of Hormuz to rising inflation expectations and hawkish Fed pricing.
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With gold pulling back to test its 200-day moving average and silver flashing oversold momentum, technicians are mapping the structural damage to the precious metals complex. Gary Wagner, editor of The Gold Forecast, joins Kitco News to break down the final C-wave correction in gold and the 78% Fibonacci retracement level holding silver.
Wagner outlines how the ongoing macro shocks—including Brent crude surging past $108 a barrel and Turkey's central bank liquidating 60 tons of gold for liquidity —are fundamentally driving the charts. He also details what needs to happen geopolitically for gold and silver to decouple from rising bond yields and catch a safety bid.
Recorded March 26 2026
Follow Jeremy Szafron on X: @JeremySzafron (https://x.com/JeremySzafron) Follow Kitco News on X: @KitcoNewsNOW (https://x.com/KitcoNewsNOW) Follow Gary Wagner on X: @goldforecast (https://x.com/goldforecast)
Chapters: 01:24 ABC Correction Breakdown 02:53 Key Support Levels 04:43 Oil and Fed Pressure 07:20 Crude Chart Resistance 09:40 Silver Technical Damage 11:46 Central Banks as Liquidity 13:18 What to Watch Next 17:10 Wrap Up and Viewer Call
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Disclaimer: The videos are not intended to provide trading advice, and the views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. Kitco News, its anchors, producers, and reporters are not responsible in any way for the performance or actions of any sponsor, advertiser or affiliate of Kitco News. In no event will Kitco and its employees be held liable for any indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the content in this video.