Bannon`s War Room WarRoom Battleground EP 960: Polls Close In Texas For The Future Of Our Republic
Mar 4, 2026
David Nino Rodriguez, Texas regional commentator reporting from El Paso and the border. Chris Wilson, pollster and data scientist running Eyes Over. They discuss Texas primary turnout dynamics. They explain online momentum tracking and coalition battles within the GOP. They cover negative ad spending, Paxton's path to victory, border security concerns, and election-night logistics.
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Texas Primary Split Between Populist Grassroots And Establishment
- Chris Wilson says the Texas GOP primary has split into two coalitions: a grassroots populist wing around Ken Paxton and an institutional wing around John Cornyn.
- Wilson's Eyes Over momentum metric showed Paxton with ~51% engagement, Cornyn ~31%, and Wesley Hunt ~17%, implying grassroots energy drives structural advantage.
Use Momentum Tracking Over Snapshot Polls
- Measure momentum not just polling snapshots; grassroots engagement predicts where a race moves, not lagging poll numbers.
- Wilson's Eyes Over tracks millions of online conversations to produce a 'sports score' that predicted past elections accurately.
Negative Ad Spending May Have Given Paxton The Edge
- Heavy negative spending reshaped the race: Wilson estimates ~$13M recorded anti-Hunt TV plus digital/mail brings total closer to ~$20M targeting Wesley Hunt.
- That intensive anti-Hunt push likely consolidated Paxton's grassroots momentum and may hand him a win without a runoff.