The Bill Simmons Podcast The 2026 NBA Trade Value List. Plus, Harden, JJJ, and Giannis Trade News With Joe House
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Feb 3, 2026 
Joe House, sports writer and NBA trade specialist, joins to break down the 2026 trade value list and recent rumor mill. They dig into Harden-for-Garland chatter, cap and trade-kicker complications. Jaren Jackson Jr. trade fallout and how contracts reshape markets are debated. Then they run through who is tradable, poison-pill limits, and surprising inclusions in the top rankings.
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How To Judge Trade Value
- Bill outlines trade-value rules: prioritize salary, age, contract length, happiness, and past trade outcomes.
- He advises thinking in degrees and role-based negotiations to estimate who a team would realistically accept.
Luka Trade Is A Unique Outlier
- Joe and Bill say Luka's past trade return (the 'Luka trade') is a singular outlier that distorts market expectations.
- They treat that blockbuster as an exception rather than a template for normal trade value.
Embiid's Hot Stretch Needs Context
- Bill praises Joel Embiid's current efficiency but warns small sample size and injury history limit trade certainty.
- They recommend waiting for a larger healthy sample before fully trusting Embiid's trade value rebound.