The Bunker – News without the nonsense No Kids On The Block – What collapsing birthrates really mean
Jul 9, 2025
Paul Morland, a renowned demographer and author, discusses the declining birth rates and their global implications. He challenges traditional pro-natalist views and explores whether a tax on the childless could be a solution. The conversation delves into cultural influences on fertility and the need for policies that support families without infringing on women's freedoms. Morland also highlights the economic consequences of an aging population and the importance of addressing gender disparities in parenting responsibilities.
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Consequences Of Low Fertility
- Extremely low fertility, like in South Korea, causes an inverted demographic pyramid with fewer young people supporting many retirees.
- This leads to economic challenges like strained pensions, healthcare, and reduced innovation and entrepreneurship.
Policy Impact On Birth Rates
- Authoritarian policies like banning abortion don't boost birth rates long term as people find ways around them.
- Expanding childcare and financial incentives can modestly raise birth rates but won't fully reverse the decline.
Tax Incentives For Parents
- Tax breaks for parents already exist in many countries and can help support families.
- Raising taxes on the childless to fund these breaks could be fair since children contribute to future workforce and social care.
