Revolution in Military Affairs Wresting Ghosts That Don't Exist, Part I
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Apr 6, 2026 Andrew Monaghan, researcher and author on Russian strategy and military affairs, discusses Blitzkrieg and the Russian art of war. He explores Russia's proxy approach in the Middle East and how territory and export routes shape Moscow's calculations. He outlines force development to 2050, naval priorities, and likely flashpoints like the Baltics, High North and Caucasus.
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Russia Sees Conflicts As Layered Multi-Region Campaigns
- Russia frames conflicts in layered scales from armed conflict to large-scale multi-region war.
- Andrew Monaghan explains Ukraine plus Iran as effectively regional conflicts that together approximate a multi-region large-scale contest involving the US and NATO.
Maritime Routes Drive Russian Geostrategy
- Moscow treats territory and maritime routes as strategic lifelines tied to economic survival.
- Monaghan highlights Russia's export routes through the Black Sea, Caucasus, Caspian and the Gulf as central to its geostrategic calculations and vulnerability concerns.
Geoeconomic Competition Underpins Russian Strategy
- Russian policy frames the international competition as geoeconomic contest over resources, transit routes and markets.
- Monaghan cites Gerasimov and leadership futures forecasting intensifying geoeconomic competition into the 2030s guiding mobilization preparations.
