Neon Liberalism

Trump's Trade Con (with Joey Politano)

Apr 11, 2026
Joey Politano, an economic analyst who writes the trade-focused newsletter Apokitas, breaks down the year after Trump’s shock tariff moves. He narrates the chaotic policy rollout and why the predicted economic collapse never arrived. They explore how carve-outs and PR 'deals' reshaped outcomes and why tariffs failed to fix the trade deficit.
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INSIGHT

Tariff Whiplash Created Real Business Uncertainty

  • The Trump administration's tariff rollout lacked normal forward guidance and predictability, creating extreme uncertainty for firms.
  • Policies often changed quickly and took immediate effect, leaving manufacturers guessing about future costs.
INSIGHT

Most Trump 'Trade Deals' Were PR Not Binding Agreements

  • Many Trump 'trade deals' are one‑page PR frameworks promising huge purchases that are economically implausible.
  • Politano shows examples like Japan's alleged $600bn fund and EU energy buy promises that can't be delivered.
INSIGHT

Carveouts Look Like Political Favors To Big Firms

  • Tariff carveouts appear to favor politically connected firms; exemptions (e.g., for big tech) can be worth hundreds of billions.
  • Politano cites Tim Cook meetings and game console vs smartphone exemptions as revealing favoritism.
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