The Monocle Daily

Israel strikes Beirut despite new ceasefire. Will it jeopardise a wider peace deal? 

May 7, 2026
Julie Norman, a UCL politics lecturer specializing in Middle East affairs, and Yossi Meckelberg, a Chatham House security analyst, dissect Israel's strike on Beirut and the fragile ceasefire. They debate legality, whether strikes test US resolve, Lebanon's leverage over Hezbollah, and wider regional implications including Syria and diplomatic manoeuvres.
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INSIGHT

Ceasefire Frayed By Targeted Strikes On Hezbollah

  • Israel's strikes in Beirut highlight a narrow interpretation of the ceasefire that allows targeting Hezbollah figures outside South Lebanon.
  • Yossi Mecklberg explains Israel sees commanders like Ahmed Galebalut as ongoing threats tied to infiltration and tunnel operations on the Israel-Lebanon border.
INSIGHT

Israel Strikes To Lock In Gains Before Bigger Deal

  • Israel appears to be testing how far it can act before US pressure on the ceasefire tightens or broader US–Iran negotiations conclude.
  • Julie Norman suggests Israel often takes military 'shots' before a larger diplomatic deal locks the status quo in place.
INSIGHT

Lebanese State Weakness Undermines Negotiations

  • Lebanon's government lacks effective authority over Hezbollah, making state-to-state progress with Israel fragile.
  • Yossi Mecklberg notes past diplomatic steps (ambassadors meeting in the US) are low-level because Beirut cannot rein in Hezbollah.
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