The Foreign Desk What can the world expect in 2026?
Jan 10, 2026
In this lively discussion, Quentin Peel, a former Financial Times foreign editor, Yossi Meckelberg, a Middle East expert from Chatham House, and Julie Norman, an international relations professor at UCL, delve into the geopolitical landscape of 2026. They explore whether the Ukraine conflict will conclude, analyze US midterm dynamics, and assess China's intentions towards Taiwan. The panel also contemplates the prospects for Palestinian statehood, potential Middle East realignments, and the risks posed by AI. Each guest shares their hopes and fears for the upcoming year, making for a thought-provoking dialogue.
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Episode notes
Nobel Prize Skepticism
- Panelists broadly doubt Donald Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize and express concern if he did.
- They argue small symbolic deals don't justify overlooking broader actions that contradict peace credentials.
Midterms Won't Fully Check Power
- Julie Norman expects Democrats to likely gain in the 2026 midterms but warns Congressional gains won't fully constrain executive power.
- She notes Trump's use of executive orders may blunt Congressional ability to roll back policies.
Taiwan Invasion Unlikely In 2026
- Panelists judge a Chinese invasion of Taiwan unlikely in 2026 due to high stakes and domestic Chinese priorities.
- They expect China to prefer long-term strategies and deterrence rather than immediate military seizure.
