The Morning Filter 5 Stocks to Buy That Are Sheltered from AI Disruption
25 snips
Mar 16, 2026 They parse oil futures to show how a prolonged Iran conflict could push pump prices and inflation. They weigh Fed meeting odds and what Powell might say about oil risks. Micron’s results and the memory cycle get attention. New research on AI’s effect on economic moats and which software firms face downgrades is explored. Five stocks with moats that look AI-resilient are highlighted.
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Higher Oil Is Pushing Gas Prices And Inflation
- Rising oil has already pushed gasoline up ~60 cents per gallon in two weeks, pressuring headline inflation.
- Consumer impact becomes acute if high gas persists after Memorial Day, reducing discretionary spending for summer activities.
Markets Have Scaled Back Expectations For Fed Cuts
- The market now prices a lower probability of Fed cuts this year; December 2026 cut odds fell from near certain to ~60% no-cut probability.
- Short-term cut probabilities remain low for March/April, modest for June/July.
Monitor Micron For Memory Cycle Peak Signals
- Watch Micron's earnings for signs of how long memory demand will exceed supply during the AI build-out.
- Morningstar models demand and margins peaking by 2028, with new capacity causing a downcycle starting in 2029.