Mark Leonard's World in 30 Minutes

The EU-India mega-deal

Jan 29, 2026
James Crabtree, ECFR distinguished visiting fellow and former Financial Times Mumbai bureau chief, offers expert analysis on the landmark EU-India mega-deal. He discusses the deal’s geopolitical weight and rapid diplomatic breakthrough. He outlines trade coverage and notable exclusions. He examines tech and defence links, India’s ties with Russia, and political risks to ratification.
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ANECDOTE

Negotiators Camped At The Imperial Hotel

  • James Crabtree describes seeing tired but happy European negotiators camped at the Imperial Hotel in New Delhi after the deal.
  • That scene captured both the relief and geopolitical weight of the agreement.
INSIGHT

Deal Driven By Geopolitical Shift

  • The EU-India deal is a significant geopolitical moment driven by shifts in US policy under Trump.
  • Fast nine-month talks show Europe seized a sudden strategic opportunity with India.
INSIGHT

Not A Full Free Trade Agreement

  • The agreement is not a full FTA because sensitive areas like agriculture and investment protection were excluded.
  • Remaining tariff cuts (eg cars, garments, pharma) still deliver meaningful gains for both sides.
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