A Momentary Lapse of Reason with Liz Young and Ali Meli of Monachil Capital Partners

Nov 13, 2023

Ali Meli of Monachil Capital Partners discusses the recent rally, the Biden-Xi meeting, diverging rate-cut forecasts, consumer sentiment, sectors for focus, his background, lessons from the banking crisis, unrealized losses on bank balance sheets, potential for a soft landing, getting balance in the economy, market opportunities, and the unstable balance sheet of the Federal Reserve.

Ask episode

Chapters

Transcript

Episode notes

Introduction

00:00 • 2min

Current State of the Market and Outlook

01:59 • 17min

Analysis of Foreclosures, Consumer Spending, and Inflation Data

18:57 • 3min

Holiday Season and Earnings Reports

22:22 • 6min

Estimate Revisions, Stock Market Trading, and the Potential Impact on the Economy

28:44 • 4min

Lessons from Goldman Sachs and Monachil Capital Partners

32:23 • 27min

Unstable Bank Balance Sheets and the Federal Reserve's Upside-Down Pyramid

59:16 • 4min

On this episode, Dan Nathan and Liz Young discuss the recent rally (3:00), what’s at stake in the Biden-Xi meeting this week (9:00), Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Diverge on Fed Rate-Cut Forecasts (15:00), consumer sentiment (19:00), and sectors Liz would be focused on if the rally continues (25:00). Later, Ali Meli of Monachil Capital Partners joins to chat about his background (32:30), the structure at Monachil (37:00), lessons from the banking crisis (39:30), unrealized losses on bank balance sheets (47:00), the potential for a soft landing (49:00), how to get balance in the economy (53:30), opportunities in the market (59:30), and why the most unstable balance sheet is Federal Reserves (27:30).

If you would like to donate to Team Rubicon, please follow this link.

Every listener who donates a minimum of $25 will receive a free On The Tape hat, just screenshot your donation confirmation and send it to contact@riskreversal.com with your mailing address.

—

About the Show:

On The Tape is a weekly podcast with CNBC Fast Money’s Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Danny Moses. They’re offering takes on the biggest market-moving headlines of the week, trade ideas, in-depth analysis, tips and advice. Each episode, they are joined by prominent Wall Street participants to help viewers make smarter investment decisions. Bear market, bull market, recession, inflation or deflation… we’re here to help guide your portfolio into the green. Risk Reversal brings you years of experience from former Wall Street insiders trading stocks to experts in the commodity market.

—

Check out our show notes here

Learn more about Ro body: ro.co/tape

See what adding futures can do for you at cmegroup.com/onthetape.

—

Shoot us an email at OnTheTape@riskreversal.com with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OnTheTapePod on Twitter or @riskreversalmedia on Threads