Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast

Effectively Wild Episode 2455: The 2026 Preseason Predictions Game

Mar 20, 2026

Ben Clemens, FanGraphs author known for topical predictions and playful takes, and Michael Baumann, FanGraphs writer noted for analytical commentary and colorful forecasts, trade rapid-fire games and odds. They riff on a WBC espresso machine auction, play a college-player-or-F1-driver quiz, and unleash a slate of bold 2026 preseason predictions to be voted on by listeners.

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ANECDOTE

Connor Griffin As A Mike Trout Rookie fWAR Challenger

Meg Rowley forecasted Connor Griffin would break Mike Trout's rookie fWAR record, noting his physical presence and neck as memorable traits.
She acknowledged roster uncertainty (opening day promotion) could affect feasibility.

INSIGHT

Why An AL East Playoff Sweep Is Plausible But Bold

Meg predicted four AL East teams would all make the playoffs, noting projections show each top four AL East team over 50% individually.
She admitted joint probability is lower, making the claim boldly aggregate.

INSIGHT

Space Launch Timeline Vs First 117+ MPH Batted Ball

Michael Baumann linked Artemis II launch timing to on‑field metrics, predicting the rocket might lift off before the season's first 117+ mph batted ball.
He used prior season counts to define the 117 mph benchmark.

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