The Big Story How Canada’s 2030 climate plan fell apart
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Feb 19, 2026 Ross Linden-Fraser, research lead at the Canadian Climate Institute, breaks down why Canada is off-track on its 2035 and 2050 targets. He discusses industrial carbon pricing's pivotal role. He explains federal-provincial cooperation, tightening credits and loopholes, and the need for broader policies like EVs, heat pumps and clean electricity.
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Canada Likely To Miss Multiple Targets
- Canada is projected to miss its 2030, 2035 and 2050 climate targets if policies stay on their current trajectory.
- The Canadian Climate Institute modeled scenarios showing modest policy changes still leave emissions far above net-zero pathways.
Fix Industrial Carbon Pricing Details
- Strengthen industrial carbon pricing by tightening thresholds and closing loopholes so credit prices approach the carbon price.
- Do not rely solely on industrial pricing because even strong implementation won't by itself meet targets.
Enforce Minimum Standards With Provincial Flexibility
- Enforce federal minimum standards while letting provinces design equivalent approaches for carbon pricing and methane rules.
- Ensure provincial equivalents are genuinely equivalent and the federal government enforces them when needed.