The Herd with Colin Cowherd Sharp or Square - NFL Conference Championship Sunday Bets: Patriots-Broncos, Rams-Seahawks
Jan 21, 2026
Simon Hunter, a professional sports bettor and gambling analyst, joins to analyze the high-stakes Conference Championship games. He shares insights on the AFC matchup between the Patriots and Broncos, focusing on the impact of QB injuries and historically successful betting trends. Simon favors the Broncos, citing public overreactions. As for the NFC, he leans toward the Seahawks due to their rest advantage over the Rams. Expect a mix of valuable betting advice and intriguing prop bets for both games!
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Emotional Championship Road Trip
- Chad Millman describes attending Indiana's national championship and the emotional high of the win.
- He recounts postgame texts, travel with lifelong friends, and the surreal celebratory atmosphere in Miami.
Backup QB Move Caused Market Overreaction
- Simon Hunter argues the Patriots-Broncos line overreacted to Bo Nix's injury and inflated public money.
- He sees Denver at +5.5 as a clear value play because the number exaggerated the backup quarterback risk.
Buy Broncos Super Bowl Futures Now
- Bet the Broncos longshot Super Bowl futures at about 13-1 while books still misprice them.
- Use the unique rarity of a backup-starting conference champ to lock a high-value future before odds shorten.