The Gist

Veteran Diplomat Charles Kupchan Holds Out Hope For a Peace Deal in Ukraine

Mar 5, 2025
Charles Kupchan, a veteran diplomat and Georgetown professor with a rich background in European affairs, discusses the delicate balancing act of potential peace negotiations for Ukraine. He shares insights on meeting Ukraine's needs while navigating political realities. The conversation also touches on recent political antics, including Donald Trump's memorable speech and his unusual priorities, highlighting the complexities and absurdities of government spending. Kupchan's perspective offers a mix of hope and realism amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions.
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INSIGHT

U.S. Intelligence Is A Decisive Edge

  • Interoperable U.S. intelligence and targeting support are uniquely valuable and hard to replace.
  • Losing U.S. intel would be 'putting out the lights' for Ukraine's operations.
ADVICE

Negotiate With Respect And Preparation

  • If pursuing peace, engage Ukraine respectfully and privately rather than humiliating its leaders.
  • Prepare a stepwise strategy and coordinate with Europeans before pressing Kyiv to negotiate.
INSIGHT

Security Means Strength, Not NATO Accession

  • Ukraine will not get NATO membership or an Article 5 guarantee anytime soon.
  • The pragmatic alternative is durable defensive capacity—arms, training, and know-how to deter Russia.
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