Debtwired!

2026 Playbook: AI disruption, LME & Chapter 11 trends

Feb 25, 2026
Kevin Fortunato, a CLO portfolio manager experienced in credit and capital solutions, and Wariz Anifowoshe, head of restructuring skilled in defensive and offensive turnarounds, discuss AI-driven disruption in software and how it is reshaping underwriting and maturities. They cover rapid loan price moves, growing use of liability management exercises, the prospect of more Chapter 11s, and why co-ops remain central to creditor coordination.
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ADVICE

Reunderwrite Software Credits Before Selling

  • Do re-evaluate individual businesses instead of lumping sectors; look for 'diamonds in the bathwater' after overselling.
  • Wariz recommends digging into contracts and customer retention to separate overreaction from real secular risk.
INSIGHT

AI Risk Is A Pricing And Maturity Problem

  • AI risk is reshaping underwriting and liability decisions but often is a repricing issue, not immediate default risk for most software names.
  • Panelists stress focus on contract length, customer lock-ins and whether AI is a 5–10% hit or existential disruption when assessing credit.
INSIGHT

AI-Driven Defaults Will Arrive Through Maturity Stress

  • Defaults from AI will likely show up via failed maturity extensions and liability-management stress, not sudden product obsolescence.
  • Kevin Fortunato expects repricing and structural hurdles as private credit and BDCs face higher bars to recapitalize software issuers.
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