Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast Lawrence Wilkerson: U.S. Arms Kurdish Fighters in Iran to Start Civil War
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Mar 5, 2026 
Lawrence Wilkerson, retired U.S. Army colonel and former chief of staff to the Secretary of State, brings deep Middle East strategy experience. He discusses risks of arming Kurdish forces in Iran and the danger of triggering wider regional war. He examines economic fallout from oil shocks, nuclear escalation fears, munitions shortages, and how chaos could reshape global geopolitics.
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Turkey Is Quietly Drawn In By Kurdish Arming
- Wilkerson contends Turkey is already implicated despite public denials, worried Israel arms Kurdish groups that could destabilize Turkey.
- He notes Ankara monitors operations closely and fears Kurdish militarization will backfire regionally.
Gulf Instability Can Trigger Global Oil Shock
- Wilkerson stresses global economic vulnerability from Gulf disruptions, noting India has ~25 days of oil reserves and prices could spike above $200 per barrel.
- He references a prior simulation where rerouting oil caused severe market disruption and shipping/insurance breakdowns.
Nuclear Risk Escalation Looms In The Conflict
- Wilkerson warns Israel may have moved or uploaded nuclear weapons and that Netanyahu wouldn't hesitate to use them, raising nuclear escalation risks.
- He calls the situation extraordinary: two nuclear-armed states attacking a non-nuclear state.