New Books in History

Odd Arne Westad, "The Coming Storm: Power, Conflict, and Warnings from History" (Henry Holt and Co, 2026)

May 6, 2026
Odd Arne Westad, Elihu Professor of History and Public Affairs at Yale and Cold War specialist, opens a warning about rising Great Power rivalry. He compares today to pre-1914 multipolarity. He discusses dangers of catastrophic Great Power wars, parallels between past and present powers, nationalism and populism, and how failing to integrate rising powers risks global escalation.
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INSIGHT

Established Powers Can Break The System They Created

  • Declining dominant powers can destabilize systems they built by withdrawing or resenting change.
  • Westad parallels Britain circa 1900–1914 with today's U.S. growing frustrated as others exploit its innovations.
INSIGHT

Bad Forecasts Generate Dangerous Urgency

  • Misreading future power trajectories produces dangerous strategic miscalculations.
  • Westad notes Germany overestimated Russia's future strength pre-1914, creating a 'maximum moment' urgency to act.
INSIGHT

Populism Echoes Prewar Nationalism

  • Populism today and pre-1914 nationalism share a common dynamic of blaming foreigners for domestic problems.
  • Westad finds fear and resentment of other powers higher now than in the generation before World War I.
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