The Daily Punch

Texas' big night

Mar 4, 2026
A recap of Texas primary night and the costly Cornyn–Paxton runoff. Discussion of how turnout and the conservative electorate could shape the race. Rundown of other notable Texas and North Carolina primary outcomes. Preview of the Senate war powers vote on Iran and which senators might swing it. Coverage of Kristi Noem’s contentious Judiciary hearing and how House allies are lining up.
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INSIGHT

Cornyn Paxton Race Forces Extended GOP Battle

  • John Cornyn and Ken Paxton finished within one point, forcing a 12-week GOP runoff in Texas that prolongs intra-party conflict.
  • Cornyn vows heavy spending to win and faces pressure to secure endorsements from Trump and Senate GOP leaders.
INSIGHT

Senate Leadership Wants A Cornyn Endorsement

  • High-level Senate Republicans may lobby Trump to endorse Cornyn as the 'battle-tested' nominee to beat Democrats.
  • Cornyn frames Paxton as a risky, 'flawed, self-centered, and shameless' choice threatening GOP gains.
INSIGHT

Runoff Dynamics Favor More Conservative Voters

  • Runoff electorates are smaller and more conservative, making Cornyn's path harder despite his initial lead.
  • He must retain his voters and convert Wesley Hunt's 13% to overcome a hardened GOP base.
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