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Ep. 193: Gerd Gigerenzer Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

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The Importance of Uncertainty in Work

One of the things that I think is really interesting about your work is that you are tackling, at least in a way that people can understand and it can be useful with that when it happens. The moment one tries to reduce all forms of uncertainty to known risk, surprise is out of the way. And for instance, the financial crisis we recently had is an example why using standard models for estimating risk have overlooked every crisis and prevented none. We're surprised that things could happen that should not as easily happen.

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