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Ep. 236: Robin Hanson Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

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Prediction Markets for the Middle East

The Defense Department had been hearing about prediction markets. The research arm of the Defense Department, which is DARPA, put out a call for proposals. I was part of a team that responded and was given a grant to show we could apply prediction markets to intelligence-related topics. We were ready to go live with a beta site where we were going to have a common atorial market on events in the Middle East.

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