Introduction

I’ve written two relatively recent articles on the economy. The first summarized Lauren Baker of ITR Economics keynote address at BPCON 22. She concluded that signs point to a potential soft landing in the economy—the aversion of disaster. Great news! 

Or not. 

I discussed the potential that the throttling of commercial credit markets could crash-land this potential soft landing. 

In my second article, I talked about the implications of the credit cycle. I overviewed Howard Marks’ thoughts on the potentially disastrous impact of a restricted credit market. We discussed the characteristics of a generous credit market as well as a tight one. We reviewed the possible impact on the economy and what could go right or wrong. 

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