The luckiest economy and AI offsetting risks

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Danny Moses welcomes back 22V Research president and chief market strategist Dennis DeBusschere to discuss why markets are making new highs despite war in Iran, soaring oil, tariff uncertainty, and a partial government shutdown. DeBusschere cites surprising economic resilience, fiscal rebates, and “non-QE QE” liquidity as supports, while warning that an energy shock could pressure real incomes and that inflation remains the key constraint that could push yields higher if growth reaccelerates. They debate the “everything rally,” easing financial conditions, stronger-than-expected profit growth tied to AI, and sector positioning favoring AI-related early cyclicals and services while fading non-AI deeper cyclicals. DeBusschere shares 22V survey shifts toward more clients expecting Fed tightening. They also discuss 22V hires and Kalshi event-contract picks on S&P 500 levels, Fed cuts, and the Knicks, plus Danny's additional Kalshi trades tied to Jerome Powell’s status.

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ABOUT THE SHOW

For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners.

Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34

The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.

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