Long-Term Victory Metrics and Dealmaking

This is the story behind the story on Trump’s 15 point Peace Plan for Iran and the Strait of Hormuz Blockade with Mike Baker. One month into the joint U.S.-Israel war with Iran, the battlefield tells one story… but the global economy tells another. Militarily, the United States and Israel have overwhelming dominance. Iran’s air defenses are down. Its navy is crippled. Its command structure has been hit hard. Operation Epic Fury is executing with precision. So why does this feel like a stalemate - The Strait of Hormuz Closure Iran has shifted to asymmetric warfare—blockading one of the most critical chokepoints in the world and triggering massive spikes in global energy prices. And here’s the uncomfortable truth: even with the most powerful military on earth, the U.S. cannot simply “take” the Strait without risking a global economic collapse. We walk through: Why the US Military can’t force open the Strait of Hormuz What’s in Trump’s 15 Point Peace Plan for Iran Predictions for what’s next? Who is in charge in Iran - The clerics, IRGC, a new Ayatollah, The president Why protecting oil tankers is nearly impossible What role is does the GCC / Gulf Cooperation Council Play The hidden role of maritime insurance—and why corporations, not governments, may decide if the Strait stays open What is going to happen with Iran’s Terror Proxies - Houthis, Hamas, Hezbollah etc. Who comes out on top - Rubio or Vance Then we unpack the reported 15-point peace proposal being floated through backchannels in Pakistan—what the U.S. is demanding from Iran, what’s being offered in return, and why Tehran may already be rejecting it. Is this peace through strength—or a dangerous gamble with global markets? To separate fact from narrative, we’re joined by former CIA covert operations officer Mike Baker, who brings 17 years of intelligence experience to break down what’s actually happening behind the headlines—no spin, no politics, just reality. If you want to understand the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz, oil markets, and what comes next—this is the episode. CHAPTERS 01:17 — Establishing Military Supremacy: 03:12 — The Strategic Trap of the Strait 05:03 — Swarm Tactics and Cheap Drones 06:14 — Vulnerability of Supertankers 07:36 — Maritime Insurance & Global Trade 09:20 — Iran’s Underground "Missile Cities" 11:18 — Risks of a Full-Scale Land Invasion 11:56 — Trump’s 15-Point Peace Proposal 12:24 — Nuclear and Proxy Network Demands 13:28 — Reopening the Strait & Missile Restrictions 14:13 — Proposed Concessions & Snapback Risks 16:01 — Tehran’s Rejection & Internal Counter-Demands 20:03 — Iranian Leadership Confusion 22:17 — The IRGC’s Hardline Control 24:27 — Evaluating Diplomatic and Military Progress 27:39 — Oil Markets & Administrative Preparedness 30:01 — Geopolitics and Extortion Fees 32:15 — The Global Supply Chain Crisis 34:40 — US Energy Policy: "Drill Baby Drill" 38:12 — The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) 42:25 — The Iranian People vs. The Regime: 45:50 — Psychological Warfare & Information Operations 49:15 — Deep Dive: The Peace Proposal’s "Snapback" Clause 52:40 — JD Vance’s Role in Negotiations 56:05 — Domestic Security: The Threat of Sleeper Cells 01:00:15 — Cyber Warfare & Infrastructure Vulnerabilities: 01:04:30 — The Future of the Conflict: 01:06:50 — Mike Baker’s Background & "The President's Daily Brief" 01:08:44 — Closing Remarks & Final Thoughts

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