Is Vladimir Puten Predictable Anymore?

Is Vladimir puten predictable any more, and is he acting rationally? That's a fair question. Our very existence could be contingent on rational world leaders. Even if the idea of of global thermo nuclear war is granted an extremely low probability black swan event, it's the equivalent of saying there's one in a thousand chance if you light that cigrette red up,. It's going to explode in the face and destroy your entire front oface and kill you.