The three macro inputs: oil, rates, dollar

Danny Moses reunites with former partners Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel to discuss trading and positioning amid a fluid backdrop including Middle East conflict and Iran de-escalation headlines, quarter-end effects, and how energy infrastructure drives both the war’s stakes and market reactions. The group frames the key macro inputs as oil, interest rates, and the dollar, arguing higher rates and volatility pressure equity multiples, while government debt and potential Fed/Treasury actions support their bullish gold thesis and preference for cheap gold miners. They debate Mag 7 reflex rallies driven by bearish positioning, rotation risks for energy, private credit/PE firm opportunities and regulatory threats, and provide cautious updates on Fannie/Freddie preferreds. They close with Masters picks and betting strategies, including Xander Schauffele, Fitzpatrick, and others.

Checkout the WAWD Substack Here: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/

Timecodes

00:00 - WAWD Updates

04:06 - Taco Tuesday Macro Chaos

08:20 - Rates Debt And Gold

19:11 - Volatility and Positioning

25:15 - Private Credit and Policy Risk

32:23 - Masters Picks and Wrap

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ABOUT THE SHOW

For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners.

Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34

The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.

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