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Jerome's Dilemma: Inflation vs Recession | On The Margin

Inflection Point

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Is China a Leading Economic Indicator?

The fed was getting spooked because they were looking at chinese economic activity as a leading indicator. I think the one heartening thing about this is it's been such a dramatic drop that maybe we're closer to the end than the beginning. And so maybe this cycle is going to be shrunken, and we're going to have a quick, short a recession, and then get back to stimulating. That's what i actually do think is going to happen. The central banks will start printing again and not tighten. I think people ar gointo be surprised how quickly they reverse.

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