How to Spot Market Related Trends in Rookies

Since 2011, we've seen 30 rookie running backs get drafted before the end of round 6 in a 12 team league or picks 72. Of those 28, 18 of them ended up playing above ADP expectation. That's almost a 40% rate among these rookie running backs drafted in the first 6 rounds. And on top of that, 11 of the 28 exceeded ADP expectation by 3 or more PPR points per game.