Crash scenarios and black swan risks

A “structural shift” is happening in the housing market—one that will permanently change how home prices appreciate. We could be experiencing the last era of steady, rising home prices as we enter into a new reality—a reality without Baby Boomers owning real estate.

For years, a “silver tsunami” has been predicted to “crash” the housing market. With Baby Boomers downsizing, aging in place, and passing away, the inevitable wave of inventory was supposed to hit the housing market with fury—but it hasn’t happened, at least not yet. With the average Baby Boomer now in their 70s, surely we should start to see inventory fly on the market…right?

Today, we’re getting into when (and if) the silver tsunami will hit, why the end of the Baby Boomer generation could change the home price growth trajectory permanently, and what will unfold in the 2030s (and beyond) that could cause serious headwinds in the housing market. But if it all comes true, investors will have the opportunity of a lifetime to get something many have assumed is gone—cash flow.

In This Episode We Cover

The “silver tsunami” explained, and why it hasn’t crashed the housing market

Inheritance begins to peak—how many heirs will keep vs. sell their parents’ homes?

The “structural shift” that could change home price appreciation forever 

Just how much of the housing market Baby Boomers own (it’s a LOT)

The return of cash flow? Why real estate investors will get another opportunity to buy

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

On the Market 403 - You Have Until 2031: What Happens When Population Goes Negative?

On the Market 404 - 75,000 “Relistings” Could Hit the Market, But Inventory WON’T Explode?

On the Market 408 - Melody Wright’s Honest Take On the “Worse Than 2008” Crash Claim

Real Estate by the Numbers

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